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Showing posts with label Economics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Economics. Show all posts

Oct 22, 2021

The Nepali Economist Podcast: Episode 10: Where did the Poor's 9.3 Trillion Dollars Go?


Dear listeners,

"Where did the 9.3 trillion dollars of the world's poor go?"
 
This is the question I discuss in the tenth episode of the Nepali Economist and try to find an answer to it with the help of Peruvian economist Hernando De Soto once again whose work we had discussed in the last episode.
 
Happy listening!

Please do not forget to send me your feedback and comments. You can mail me at nepalieconomist (@) gmail.com to send your messages.

You can listen to the tenth episode here:


May 27, 2021

The Nepali Economist Podcast: Episode 09: The Other Path to Prosperity


Dear listeners,

Sorry about the long, long gap after the eighth episode. I finally welcome you to the ninth episode of The Nepali Economist. In this episode, I bring you the story of Peruvian economist Hernando De Soto who sought an alternative path to prosperity for the poor people in Peru and then the rest of the world. How did De Soto find the alternative path and what impact did his findings have on the developing countries around the world? Listen to find out!

Please do not forget to send me your feedback and comments. You can mail me at nepalieconomist (@) gmail.com to send your messages.

You can listen to the ninth episode here:


Dec 20, 2020

The Nepali Economist Podcast: Episode 08: The Story of Markets


Dear listeners,

Welcome to the eighth episode of The Nepali Economist. In this episode, I talk about the marvel of the markets - what they are, how they work, and why they are important.

The following are the references I have used:

The Reality of Markets by Russel Roberts

Spontaneous Order by Norman Barry

I, Pencil by Leonard E. Read 

 Please check out the episode and let me know what you think. Also, please let me know what topics would you like to see covered in upcoming episodes. You can mail me at nepalieconomist (@) gmail.com to send your messages.

You can listen to the eighth episode here:


Oct 29, 2020

The Nepali Economist Podcast: Episode 07: The Value of Money


Dear readers,

After a long hiatus of almost four months, I am finally back with another episode of my podcast - the seventh episode. In this episode, I discuss the concepts of inflation and deflation and how they impact our lives. I also discuss the ways to shield ourselves from their adverse impacts. I have presented examples of hyperinflation of Zimbabwe and the deflation of Japan and explained why the prices of bitcoin is likely to keep rising.

Please check out the episode and let me know what you think. Also, please let me know what topics would you like to see covered in upcoming episodes. You can mail me at nepalieconomist (@) gmail.com to send your messages.

You can listen to the seventh episode here:


Jul 3, 2020

The Nepali Economist Podcast: Episode 06: Where Do Prices Come From?


Dear readers,

Welcome to the sixth episode of The Nepali Economist. Why are footballers or fashion models paid more than doctors and health workers? Why is life-saving water cheaper than diamonds? Who determines the prices of goods and services? Is it the seller or the buyer? What happens if we try to control prices?

I try to answer all these questions in this episode along with discussing the Diamond-Water paradox and real-life examples from Nepal. Happy Listening! You can send me your comment or feedback at nepalieconomist@gmail.com.

You can listen to the sixth episode here:



May 31, 2020

The Nepali Economist Podcast: Episode 04: The Law of Comparative Advantage


Dear readers,

Welcome to the fourth episode of The Nepali Economist. In this episode, I talk about the law of comparative advantage, how it was developed, and how it works. I think the law of comparative advantage is particularly relevant in the current times when self-reliance is all the rage. I hope you will like this episode too. Please listen to it and share it with your friends. You can send me your comment or feedback at nepalieconomist@gmail.com.

You can listen to the fourth episode here:



May 9, 2020

The Nepali Economist Podcast: Episode 03: The Unintended Consequences


Dear readers,

Thank you for liking the second episode as well. I am glad to present you the third episode of the podcast. In this episode, I share several interesting case studies of unintended consequences based on real events from around the world. I have shared stories from colonial India, Mao's China, Mexico, USA, and Nepal. I hope you will like this episode too. Please listen to it and share with your friends. You can send me your comment or feedback at nepalieconomist@gmail.com.

You can listen to the third episode here:



Apr 24, 2020

The Nepali Economist Podcast: Episode 02: There Ain't No Such Thing As A Free Lunch


Dear readers,
Thank you for your overwhelming response to the first episode of my podcast. I am so glad that you liked it. The second episode is available now. In this episode, I talk about the concept of opportunity cost or what the economists call "There ain't no such thing as a free lunch."I hope you will like this episode too. Please listen to it and share with your friends. You can send me your comment or feedback at nepalieconomist@gmail.com.

You can listen to the second episode here:



Apr 7, 2020

The Nepali Economist Podcast: Episode 01: Incentives Matter


Dear readers,
I am pleased to share with you that I have started a podcast of my own. Titled "The Nepali Economist", this podcast intends to promote economic thinking and generate interest in economics among its listeners. In this podcast, I will be discussing the basic principles of economics and their application in real life, various issues related to Nepalese economy, history of economic thought, and the world economy. I hope you will find it useful. Please listen to it and share with your friends. You can send me your comment or feedback at nepalieconomist@gmail.com.

You can listen to the first episode here:



Mar 28, 2020

असल अर्थशास्त्र अडियो बूक : खण्ड १ (अर्थशास्त्रका बाह्र प्रमुख सिद्धान्तहरू)


गत वर्ष मैले Common Sense Economics: What Everyone Should Know About Wealth and Prosperity नामक पुस्तकलाई नेपालीमा अनुवाद गरेर प्रकाशन पनि गरेको थिएँ ।अर्थशास्त्रका आधारभूत सिद्धान्तहरूलाई एकदमै सरल भाषामा र व्यावहारिक उदाहरणहरू सहित व्याख्या गर्ने उक्त पुस्तक प्रति निकै राम्रो प्रतिक्रिया आयो र हाल पनि उक्त पुस्तक विभिन्न पुस्तक पसलहरूबाट विक्रीवितरण भइरहेको छ । पाठकहरूबाट प्राप्त प्रतिक्रियाले म निकै उत्साहित भएको छु । त्यसैले उक्त पुस्तक अझ धेरै पाठकहरूसम्म पुर्याउन पाए हुन्थ्यो भन्ने लागिरहेको थियो । यसै अभिलाषालाई पूरा गर्ने उद्देश्यले मैले साथीहरू अनमोल बज्राचार्य, सौरभ तिवारी तथा गोविन्द शिवाकोटीको प्राविधिक सहयोगमा उक्त पुस्तकको श्रव्य पुस्तक बनाएको छु र अनलाइनमा नि:शुल्क सुन्न मिल्ने गरी अपलोड गरेको छु । 

उक्त श्रव्य पुस्तकको खण्ड १ (अर्थशास्त्रका बाह्र प्रमुख सिद्धान्तहरू) यहाँ तपाईंहरू माझ तल साझा गरेको छु । सुनेर प्रतिक्रिया दिनुहोला । साथै यो पुस्तक उपयोगी हुनसक्ने कुनै व्यक्ति छ तपाईंको नजरमा भने उक्त व्यक्तिलाई पनि यो पोस्ट साझा गरिद्नुहोला।

सिद्धान्त १ : प्रोत्साहन महत्वपूर्ण हुन्छ ।


सिद्धान्त २ : संसारमा केही पनि सित्तैमा आउदैन ।


सिद्धान्त ३ : निर्णयहरू सीमान्तमा गरिन्छन् ।


सिद्धान्त ४ : व्यापारलेआर्थिक प्रगति ल्याउँछ ।


सिद्धान्त ५ :कारोबार लागतले व्यापारमा बाधा पुर्याउँछ।


सिद्धान्त ६ : मूल्यले क्रेता र बिक्रेताको रोजाइलाई सन्तुलनमा ल्याउँछ।


सिद्धान्त ७ :नाफाले व्यवसायीहरूलाई उत्पादनशील क्रियाकलापतर्फ डोर्याउँछ।


सिद्धान्त ८ : अरूलाई मूल्यवान हुने वस्तु तथा सेवा प्रदान गरेर मानिसहरूले आम्दानी गर्दछन्।


सिद्धान्त ९ :उच्च जीवनस्तरको लागि रोजगारी मात्र होइन मानिसहरूले मूल्यवान ठान्ने वस्तु तथा सेवा पनि आवश्यक पर्दछन्। 


सिद्धान्त १० :व्यापार,लगानी,काम गर्ने शैलीमा सुधार तथा कुशल आर्थिक संस्थाको माध्यमबाट आर्थिक प्रगति हुन्छ।


सिद्धान्त ११ : बजारको 'अदृश्य हात' ले क्रेता तथा विक्रेतालाई लोकहित गर्ने गतिविधितर्फ लैजान्छ।


सिद्धान्त १२ :प्राय: जसो कुनै पनि कार्यको दीर्घकालीन प्रभाव वा परोक्ष प्रभावलाई मानिसहरूले बेवास्ता गरिराखेका हुन्छन्।


Jan 21, 2013

Top 10 of the Books I Read in 2012


Last year I was able to read only 16 books, less than half of the initial target of 40 books.It lesser than the number of books I had read in 2011 (25 books). I guess, as you get more engulfed into your professional life, reading becomes more of a luxury than an essential part of life. But I am happy that I  was able to read some very important books during the year. Following are the Top 10 of the books I read in 2012 (Not in any particular order):

1. Steve Jobs: A Biography by Walter Issacson

My first reading of 2012 was this 600-pages official biography of Steve Jobs by Water Issacson. Very few things remain to be said about this legendary but highly controversial character who wanted to “put a dent in the universe” and is among the handfuls who actually did. Famous for revolutionizing PC industry, music industry, movie industry and cell-phone industry and infamous for his condescending attitude and treatment towards  his employees, family, friends, business counterparts and practically everyone, Jobs was truly a multidimensional and complex character who lived through one after another dramatic phases in his life. This biography is a must read if you have ever been impressed by Steve Jobs or his inventions in your life or want to know an honest account of the life of a visionary. I found the book very comprehensive, brutally honest and very interesting to read.

2. Fatalism and Development: Nepal's Struggle for Modernization by Dor Bahadur Bista

If you ask me, this is probably the most cited Nepali book till date. I was impatient to read this book after I had too many of "OMG, you haven't read Fatalism and Development yet?" reactions from people during conversations about books. So it was among the first book I read in 2012. Written by the renowned sociologist Dor Bahadur  Bista and published in 1991, even after two decades the book is still very relevant and resourceful for anyone wishing to understand the cultural and social aspects of Nepalese society that prevents it from fully modernizing. He has described how Nepali society has been engineered into a fatalistic attitude mainly because of 'alien' influence of Brahmanism from India. At times, I found his generalizations about castes and ethnic groups too uncomfortable but overall the insights he provides are very useful.

I have written an article on the relationship between Fatalism and Free Market which can be found here.

3. Innovation and Entrepreneurship: Practice and Principles by Peter F. Drucker

In this classic book, Drucker describes about the difference between entrepreneurship and business. The difference between the two terms is very confused, especially in the developing societies where innovation is lower compared to more developed societies. Drucker says entrepreneurship is more about innovation than just a business. Innovation doesn't necessarily mean finding a new product or technology only, innovation is, in fact in most cases, about finding new ways of doing the same thing more effectively, recognizing the incongruity between the perception of consumers and producers, recognizing the changes in industry and market structure and adjusting products and services accordingly, planning and producing products and services according to the demographic structures of the society etc.

You can read more of my thoughts on the book here.

4. Keynes Hayek: The Clash that Defined Modern Economics by Nicholas Wapshott

I very much enjoyed this book — which is detailed and entertaining and conceptual all at once. The book basically outlines, the lives, works, influences and inter-relationship of two great economists of the twentieth century- F.A. Hayek and J.M. Keynes whose opposing and conflicting view points competed to dominate the political economic discourses of the world for the past century and continue to do so. Keynes,a proponent of government intervention and direction of the economy was able to dominate the discourse until 1970s whereas Hayek, a proponent of free markets dominated the scene from 1970s to 2008 as per the author.

It is hard to find anyone who hasn't heard about J.M. Keynes and it is hard to find many people who have heard about F.A. Hayek, let alone people who have actually read his books. But it is very interesting to know that these two people with competing claims have influenced the political economic discourse of the past century so much. You can read more of my thoughts on the book here.

5. The Millionaire Next Door by Thomas J. Stanley and William D. Danko

No, the book is NOT about how to become a millionaire. There are countless books that promise to make you a millionaire and if reading made someone a millionaire I would be surely among the first ones ;) . Based on years on research, statistics and case studies, this book profiles people who are already millionaires and tries to find the common traits and behaviours (especially saving and spending behaviour) between them.

One of the major findings of the study is that high-income-earners with a hyper-consumer lifestyle are not necessarily millionaires. Majority of the wealthy people are those high-earners with a frugal mindset. Majority of the millionaires were found to be living below their means, allocating time and resources for things that help build wealth (e.g. good education), giving more importance to financial independence than display of social status and making their adult children financially independent. Most interestingly, 80% of these wealthy people created the wealth themselves not inherited it. Although, the book is based on American millionaires, the insights it provides are universally applicable. But let me warn you: the book is quite boring and repetitive at times.

6. The Big Three in  Economics by Mark Skousen

A very well-written and easy to read (easy to listen for me) book, The Big Three in Economics describes the battle of ideas among the three most influential economists in world history: Adam Smith, representing laissez faire; Karl Marx, reflecting the radical socialist model; and John Maynard Keynes, symbolizing big government and the welfare state. The author not only describes the ideas proposed by these personalities but also highlights the lives they led. The author is obviously an admirer of Adam Smith and makes no efforts to hide it. He has put Smith on the top rung of the totem pole of influence and impact followed by J.M. Keynes and Karl Marx at the bottom. However, he has his opinions well backed up by the facts and observations. I found the book very insightful, entertaining and informative.

7.  Nothing to Envy: Ordinary Lives in North Korea by Barbara Demick

I accidentally started reading this book. One day while going through my e-library in my laptop I found this book. So, I read a few pages to see if it was interesting enough. Then I could not stop before finishing it. In this moving book, journalist Barbara Demick follows the lives of six North Koreans of various walks of life who have fled North Korea and are currently living in South Korea, to find out what it's like to live as an ordinary citizen in the 'Hermit Kingdom'. The lives of ordinary people seems as if they are living in an Orwellian world, probably even worse. It is hard not to get emotional while reading the book, feel pity for ordinary North Koreans and be thankful that you were not born there.

I have written a blog-post detailing the 13 most shocking things I found about ordinary people's lives in North Korea in this book. You can read them here.

8. A Kingdom Under Siege: Nepal's Maoist Insurgency, 1996 to 2004 by Deepak Thapa

A journalistic account of social, political history of Nepal as a background to the Maoist Insurgency that engulfed Nepal for a decade. The book covers the events of until 2004 only when the Maoist insurgents and the government declared siege fire for the second time and sat down for talks. Thapa vividly describes the way people's lives had been affected by the insurgency, the motivations that drove the insurgents and the way government reacted to the phenomenon. It is a very informative and insightful book for anyone wishing to understand the causes and effects of the insurgency in Nepal. I wish the author would write another book detailing the events of post 2004 until the movement of 2006 that ended the insurgency with a peace agreement.



9.  The Elusive Quest for Growth: Economists' Adventures and Misadventures in the Tropics by William Easterly

I had read a few chapters of this book before and have written about this book a few times in my blog as well. But this year, I read the book cover to cover. This is one of the most important books I have read about development economics. In this book, Easterly describes why the numerous efforts to improve the lives of people living in Third World countries have failed and what can be done to achieve the real result. Recently, i saw an article by Oxfam saying "Annual income of richest 100 people enough to end global poverty four times over". People talk as if developing countries have not received any aid at all till date. How I wish people would read this book and realize that the problem of poverty is not that there in not enough aid or not that wealth is concentrated. The major problem is how majority of the people in Third World countries are deprived from creating wealth. 

10. Banker to the Poor: Micro-Lending and the Battle Against World Poverty by Muhammad Yunus

I had heard a lot about Grameen Bank and micro-credit before but did not actually know the nitty-gritty and inspiration behind the program. This autobiography of Yunus describes how the idea of Grameen Bank was born and how micro-credit has been helping millions of poor around the world. Yunus has also described how Grameen Bank have adapted with the social and economic backgrounds of its clients to develop the current mechanism of providing micro-credit which tries to encompass as many poor as possible along with addressing not only the economic challenges faced by them but also the social challenges. Grameen Bank maintains a repayment rate of around 97% and has a net worth of more than a billion dollars. The book provides insights to the readers on how poor are capable of helping themselves and how helping them help themselves is more effective than patronizing them with charity.

So, that was the list of top ten of the books I read in 2012. What do you think? How many of them have you read? Are there any books that you would recommend me based on my interest as depicted in this list? Do share feedback and opinions in the comments below!

(Published by Vibes magazine in its 1st Anniversary Special Issue of May 2013.)

Nov 30, 2012

Moral Criticisms of Capitalism: Paul Heyne's Thoughts!


Paul Heyne
Yesterday I stumbled upon a lecture titled 'The Moral Critics of Capitalism' by Paul Heyne. It's a shame that I had never heard of him before. Paul Heyne, as I have come to know now, is the author of the acclaimed textbook "The Economic Way of Thinking" and was one of the legendary teachers of economics in United States. I loved this lecture which happens to be his last public lecture and was delivered on given February 17, 2000 in Seattle.

In this lecture he talks about the moral criticisms of capitalism or as he would prefer to say 'market-coordinated' system. As a person who came to the field of economics from theology, he indeed has interesting perspectives on the morality of free market system. Previously an ardent Marxist, Haynes started reading economics when his friends suggested him that he might be on the right track by criticizing capitalism but it would help him if he studied some economics as well. He says later on he found  that 'almost all of the moral criticisms of capitalism that he had been triumphantly parading around in the seminary campus were misunderstandings'. He argues that capitalism evolves naturally and competition is an inevitable thing as long (Read forever) as there is scarcity.

He also says that there, however, is a very valid moral criticism of capitalism that is often forgotten by the moral critics. Capitalism subverts community which almost every one of us are fond of. He suggests people to find ways to nurture community without destroying the market so that we can get the best of both worlds.

You can listen to the lecture here:
So what do you think? Feel free to post your comments below:

Apr 10, 2012

The greatest economic debate of the last century: Keynes Vs Hayek



I recently finished listening to the audio version of Nicholas Wapshott's book 'Keynes Hayek: The Clash That Defined Modern Economics”. I very much enjoyed this book — which is detailed and entertaining and conceptual all at once. The book basically outlines, the lives, works, influences and inter-relationship of two great economists of the twentieth century- F.A. Hayek and J.M. Keynes whose opposing and conflicting view points competed to dominate the political economic discourses of the world for the past century and continue to do so. Keynes,a proponent of government intervention and direction of the economy was able to dominate the discourse until 1970s whereas Hayek, a proponent of free markets dominated the scene from 1970s to 2008 as per the author.

In 1930s, when the world was thrown into a turmoil by the Great Depression, these two economists emerged with competing claims on how to restore the world into balance and revive growth. Keynes, who was an internationally well-known figure for his role in the negotiations of allied forces with defeated Germany at the end of World War I and his popular works such as The Economic Consequences of Peace, came up with the idea that governments should play a greater role in the economy by manipulating with the aggregate demand of the economy and cure unemployment and enhance economic growth. He believed unemployment to be the most severe problem of any economy and government could solve the problem by increasing government expenditures and undertaking extensive public works, however unnecessary or wasteful they be. He thought the government actions were necessary to correct the 'failures of markets' and save 'capitalism' from itself. His ideas took time to be popular but really took off with the Second World War engulfing most of the economies of the non-communist world.

F.A. Hayek
F.A. Hayek, on the other hand, was a little known Austrian economist who believed that any intervention by the government in the economy would do more harm than good. He believed inflation caused by government's wasteful expenditure to be more evil than the unemployment itself. As per Hayek, markets are too complicated and consist of too many individuals with too diverse beliefs to be understood or properly managed by a central authority. In his highly popular book, he outlined how small interventions in the economy can lead countries into totalitarianism. He contested that totalitarian regimes like fascism were not a reaction to capitalism but socialism in disguise. He put forward the ideas that free markets when undeterred or misled by government actions correct themselves and were the only source of prosperity.

Unlike Hayek's ideas which seemed fatalistic and pessimistic, Keynes ideas were pro-initiative and optimistic and hence got really popular with leaders and governments around the world as they started using his ideas to expand the role of governments in the economy. At it's height in 1970s, Keynesian-ism was all over the world with almost every non-communist country following it's tenets. The government's role, expenditures and debts shot up with time. In the euphoria, Hayek's pessimistic sounding ideas and warnings were forgotten and Hayek remained an outcast in the mainstream economics, which continues to be the trend today as well.

J.M. Keynes
Keynes with his ideas formed the basis for new aspects of economical studies – macroeconomics. Before him, there was no division between microeconomics and macroeconomics. There was only economics--it was called "classical liberalism". Keynes legacy is immortalized by this new discipline within economics. Hayek, on the other hand, frustrated by the ignorance of mainstream economists and politicians, formed Mont Perelion Society- a small community of the then beleaguered minority of free market economists. That small initiation today has evolved into a worldwide movement of libertarians. Hayek's legacy too lives on with the ever-growing libertarian movement.

The book would be an interesting read to anyone who follows history of economical thoughts and is interested in economics. It is also enlightening for anyone wishing to engage in the one of the most popular economic debates: Can governments fix the broken economy? Can governments bring economic growth or prosperity or is it the markets?

Following are the titles of the chapters of the book, which help shed light on what the book is really about and how it is organized.

1. The Glamorous Hero: How Keynes Became Hayek's Idol, 1919 - 27.
2. End of Empire: Hayek Experiences Hyperinflation Firsthand, 1919 - 24.
3. The Battle Lines Are Drawn: Keynes Denies the "Natural" Order of Economics, 1923 - 29.
4. Stanley and Livingston: Keynes and Hayek Meet for the First Time, 1928 - 30.
5. The Man Who Shot Liberty Valance: Hayek Arrives from Vienna, 1931.
6. Pistols at Dawn: Hayek Harshly Reviews Keynes' Treatise, 1931.
7. Return Fire: Keynes and Hayek Lock Horns, 1931.
8. The Italian Job: Keynes Asks Piero Sraffa to Continue the Debate, 1932.
9. Toward The General Theory: The Cost-Free Cure for Unemployment, 1932 - 33.
10. Hayek Blinks: The General Theory Invites a Response, 1932 - 36.
11. Keynes Takes America: Roosevelt and the Young New Deal Economists, 1936.
12. Hopelessly Stuck in Chapter 6: Hayek Writes His Own "General Theory," 1936 - 41.
13. The Road to Nowhere: Hayek Links Keynes' Remedies to Tyranny, 1937 - 46.
14. The Wilderness Years: Mont-Pelerin and Hayek's Move to Chicago, 1944 - 69.
15. The Age of Keynes: Three Decades of Unrivaled American Prosperity, 1946 - 80.
16. Hayek's Counterrevolution: Friedman, Goldwater, Thatcher, and Reagan, 1963 - 88.
17. The Battle Resumed: Freshwater and Saltwater Economists, 1989 - 2008.
18. And the Winner Is ...: Avoiding the Great Recession, 2008 Onward

Happy Reading!

Dec 12, 2011

The Rise and Fall of Dr. Bhattarai's Popularity and lessons learned



Image Source: Wikimedia

When Dr. Bhattarai was elected the prime minister of the current coalition government, many people breathed a sigh of relief and raised their hopes high. His ardent supporters went crazy with joy and excitement. For a while it seemed Nepal had finally got it's messiah who had cures for all the ills of this nation, who could bring everyone together and get the country on track. Those few who thought it better to control their excitement and contain their expectations were labeled too cynical and pessimists. Some jubilant populace even initiated campaigns demanding the new Prime Minister be allowed to work. When the new Prime Minister decided to use a Nepal assembled Mustang as his vehicle and set a precedent for other politicians to follow the suit, general people’s excitement went up through the ceiling. The trend continued when Dr. Bhattarai declared government relief packages and other several populist moves. However, in the euphoria people forgot few small details, the generosity of PM was solely based on 'Other People's Money' rather than deep convictions for really helping the poor and whether a leader is good or evil has little bearing on a nation's well-being than the system and policies that are in place.

Only when the new PM's cabinet made history by being the largest one till date, designated convicts as ministers and convicted people as ministers and the media started reporting the gross discrepancy between PM's commitments and the reality- were the people shaken out of their illusion. The popularity of PM Bhattarai is declining with the same speed as it rose during early days of his premiership. The ardent and faithful are utterly disappointed, the skeptics are in glee with “I told you so” mood and the vast majority of the populace is as apathetic as ever. So, why did Nepal's “messiah” dash the hopes of so many of his fans? What proved the skeptics right? And how long will the Nepali idiom “Jun Jogi Aaye Pani Kanai Chireko” hold true?

It's the system

Centuries of patronization from the state, short lived experience with democracy, massive poverty and illiteracy resulting in the political discourse being overwhelmingly dominated by political parties and their puppet intellectuals and a decade long bloody communist uprising has turned majority of us into political romanticists. Discourses about development of any field predictably end with “lack of a genuine leader with a vision” and fantasy of a true patriotic leader with cure for all ills of our society is rampant. This person centric approach is confirmed by our interpretation of history too. Nepal's political system has too many heroes or villains rather than values and systems. Nepal's political and social institutions have been predominantly feudalistic in nature which allowed an individual/family/party to wield much influence in the society. Therefore, much of a society's progress has depended upon that leader's whim. In reality, however, the kind of political system a society adopts and the values and norms it upholds are much more instrumental in driving the society forward rather than the goodness or evilness or a political leader.

Dev Shumsher might have been a relatively liberal Rana Prime Minister but his generosity failed to extend beyond his term. King Birendra might have been a generous King but Nepal under his rule was no way better than Nepal under the rule of King Mahendra. The political leaders of parties like Nepali Congress and UML who have become the epitome of ineffective and corrupt leaders now were once the ideal revolutionaries whose sole purpose in life had been the nation's interest. Similarly, Maoists who waged a decade long war in the name of the poor are nowadays in constant controversies ranging from criminal activities to institutional corruption dashing out any hopes that they would provide a better alternative to the major political parties of pre-2006 era. 

International experiences illuminate us more about this principle. Citizens of democratic and liberal countries of Europe and North America can rationally hope that despite of any leader coming into power to be not outrageously corrupt unlike them, citizens of Pakistan and Bangladesh can be pretty much sure about corruption, ineffectiveness and controversies no matter who came into power. Similarly, it is also noteworthy that every country that has ever tried communism found a ruthless dictator who really hated free speech and dissenting views among other things. What chances are there that all the leaders of similar political and economic systems be equally ruthless unless the system itself made them to act that way?

Image Source: Nepalnews
In this context, Nepali citizens would really be better off in the longer run if they placed their hopes on having a good system rather than a good leader and it would be a folly on our part to assume a single leader through his/her personal choice would be able to change the system for better. That said, it is imperative that we venture beyond the usual rhetoric of blaming the system and figure out what actually is wrong with the system. We have had leaders competing with each other to promise us loftier dreams. From transforming Nepal to Switzerland, to making a Singapore out of it to generating 10000 Megawatts of electricity, we have heard it all. However, our political discourse has severely failed to address the “How” part of the question.  There is a dearth of opinion on the “how” part of the question except for some self contradictory ideas regarding the development of the country. On one hand, people are furious over the ineffectiveness and blatant hypocrisy of the political leaders and the ruin their actions have brought to the country whereas on the other hand, the mere suggestion that government should not be extensively involved in the economic activities as well as other aspects of people's lives raises many eyebrows and such suggestions are looked upon with ridicule. Suggesting people that if a nation wants to progress, it is essential to separate the government and the economy as far as possible draws many sighs of disbelief.

Constitution and Prosperity

The constitution is being written and hopefully will be completed this time. The kind of constitution we will have will set a system that will shape the politicians and the political behavior in the future, thereby determining in part what level of prosperity we will achieve. Hence, figuring out the what kind of system do we want to have in country-the one that bequeaths the politicians with extensive power to shape and influence our lives or the one that puts its faith in general people - is the best thing we can do for the sake of the country than getting overzealous about a leader or a political party for that matter.

-Surath Giri

Jan 12, 2011

10 easy to read books that will teach you about economics , wealth and prosperity


Many a times after engaging in a debate on issues of public policy or economies, one response I invariably get is; “I didn’t know economics could be that interesting. Can you recommend me some books on economics that are easy to read and understand, ones that don’t have too many indecipherable figures and codes, something that can teach me to relate economics with day to day examples as you did now?”

They can’t be blamed for their view of economics. Economics has long been accused of being too abstract, irrelevant, unrealistic and boring subject.  Economics for a layman has been a subject of experts. It’s all about curves, figures and numbers that has little if any, to do with our daily lives. However, the truth is that, economics isn’t all about, or I would rather say, it isn’t primarily about curves, diagrams, codes and numbers. Economics and fun needn’t be contradictory terms.

Today, I would like to present you the top ten books that are easy to read and understand which will teach you a lot about economics, wealth and prosperity. And take my word; you won’t be bored unless you have a dire disgust towards reading itself.

1.Common Sense Economics: As the name suggests, if you have common sense, you'll understand this book pretty well. The alternative title of this book is "What everyone should know about wealth and prosperity" . I believe by now you can pretty well guess what the book is about and what it will be like.

2.In Defense of Global Capitalism: In defense of global capitalism is an easy to read explanation of how the spread of the free market economy has brought about the swiftest reduction of hunger and poverty in human history. It explains how the world is getting more prosperous and wealthy through policies of free markets.

Note: If you love to believe that capitalism is about letting rich people do whatever they like and letting poor people die or if you love to take word by word what our politicians say about capitalism (capitalism is the cause of all this mess, capitalism is what USA does, capitalism is evil etc etc.), you might find the book very shocking as it has tons of facts and examples that point otherwise.

3.Economics in One Lesson: FYI, the book has more than one lesson but it is one hell of a simple read that will give you lots of insights to principles of economics and their implications in our daily lives.

4.The Choice: A fable of free trade and protectionism:
Written by one of my most favorite economic writers , Russell Roberts, The Choice teaches you about the various aspects of free trade and protectionism in the simplest form possible..i.e a story. If you love reading stories, you'll definitely love this book.

5.The Price of Everything: It is another book written by Russell Roberts. It teaches why everything has a price and how prices are one of the most wonderful inventions of human societies. As it is with every other book by Roberts, it's in the form of fiction too.

6.The Deal Maker: Written by Rakesh Wadhwa, whose articles appear regularly in leading newspapers of Nepal, India, Sri Lanka, and the US, The Deal Maker is an easy to read novel with lots of twists, suspense and subplots and of course, lessons in economics and how any country can get prosperous.

7.The Adventures of Jonathan Gullible: Have you read the classic "Gulliver's Travels"? If you liked the book, you'll surely like The Adventures of Jonathan Gullible. Jonathan Gullible finds various kinds of people with various economic concepts and behaviors. Along the way, he learns a lot.

8.The Ultimate Resource: Remember your school days when a subject called "Population, Health and Environment" terrified you with a grim picture of the world where the rapid growth of population is going to threaten our existence? The author of this book seems to believe just the opposite. He thinks population is our ultimate resource and the source of prosperity and he ain't kidding.

9.Free Your Mind: A beginner's guide to Political Economy: This book is even simpler as compared to other books I mentioned but not a bit less interesting and definitely not less informative. Targeted for teenagers, the presentation style of this book is amazing. It covers topics such as employment, free trade, public administration, inflation, environment , poverty etc. Know why money is called "bucks'? The author also says , Statutory Warning! Socialist Democracy Is Very Bad For Your Health! (You’d Be Better Off Chain Smoking!) and he too ain't kidding!

10.Free to Choose: I am not sure if all the chapters of this book would be very easy to understand but I highly recommend you to read the first couple of chapters. This book is supposed to have influenced many influential politicians and general people all around the world. After a few chapters, you'll know why.

Well, that's it. Have you read any of these books? If yes, what do you think about them? Please share your thoughts and view points. If you have any similar books in mind, please share about it in the comment box below!

Jan 9, 2011

Privatization: The way of the future


Image Source:www.ktm2day.com
The recent report presented by a high level commission formed by the government to study about the performance of the state owned enterprises presents the dire state of these enterprises.  Majority of our public enterprises are running on losses and are burdensome for the state. This state of affairs is an irony to the very objective of establishing such enterprises i.e. provide public with the goods and services at affordable prices and contribute in the economic growth of the nation. Not only these state owned enterprises running on losses are having negative impact on nation’s growth but the goods and services they are producing are far from satisfying consumer needs. The commission has rightly advised for different measures for the improvement of these enterprises ranging from selling shares to adapting the private public partnership management to closing down some of them.

Once upon a time

Once upon a time, people all over the world, mostly in the communist countries and the Third world countries used to think, state operated enterprises are the panacea to all the needs of the society. The advent of the cold war saw a massive wave of creation of huge state owned and operated enterprises as well as nationalization of major industries all over the world. However, these ventures disregarded some basic principles of markets and human behaviors and were bound to fail. The basic human nature that says people are self-interested, they care for what they own and whatever belongs to no one falls into disrepair was violated when tax payers' money was used to establish these ventures. As for the people who worked in them, had little or no incentive at all to sustain and grow these enterprises.

Another violation was the principle of markets - for an enterprise to be profitable or sustainable for that matter, it has to work under the law of supply and demand. It has to respond to the signals of the various market forces. Failing to heed to market forces would eventually result in losses and shifting of resources to more efficient sectors. State owned enterprises violated this principle because they were supposed to run on bureaucratic codes and regulations rather than by responding to market signals.

Another major principle violated was the natural tendency of corruption to breed wherever political affairs are involved. State owned enterprises being under the political control no wonder became the breeding grounds for corruption. The result, SOEs all over the world became the breeding ground for corruption and epitome of inefficiency, financial disasters.

However, during the 1980s, under the leaderships of Margaret Thatcher in the UK and Ronald Reagan in the USA, privatization of state owned enterprises gained worldwide momentum. After the fall of Soviet empire and end of cold war in the 1990s, when capitalism emerged as the only practical way of organizing a society, nations all over the world started deregulating industries and privatizing or disinvesting their public enterprises with much success. The general trend over a period of time has been lower prices, improved quality, more choices, less corruption, less red tape, and quicker delivery of services.  The general trend all over the world has been of liberalization and privatization of most of the public enterprises.

Once in a place

Nepal had its own fair share of public enterprises established during the Panchayat era. During the mid sixties to early eighties, the government invested large sums of money in the establishment and expansion of public enterprises (PE’s) in all sector of the economy from banking to trading, public utilities to manufacturing and social service. The concept of privatization came into focus in the sixth plan review on PE’s which showed a bleak picture of the return on the investments done on public enterprises leading to the decision of selling some of the public enterprises. During the 1990s a limited liberalization was done and a number of public enterprises privatized.

Some of the results were increase in choice and living standard of consumers, cheaper and better airlines, better banking services and spurts of various private endeavors. Behind the scene too, the administrative and fiscal burden of the government was reduced to some extent.  However, the privatization of some public enterprises such as Raghupati jute mills, Bansbari Tannary Industry, Bhrikuti Paper factory were marred with political controversy generated mostly due to ideological conflict and misinforming propagandas. The too often quoted case of “Bansbari Tannary privatization” that resulted in closure of the business is more of propaganda than a fact. Contrary to the rumors, the factory was shut down because it could not compete anymore with the cheap imported Chinese shoes and the machinery of the tannery was too old that it had become obsolete.

The failure of the then proponents of liberalization to highlight the gains of privatization and the politically controversy made the process come to a halt and hasn’t been able to move very far since then.

Current time

Image Source:www.life.com
More than half of the 36 public enterprises that we have now are operating under losses and the amount of accumulated loss is alarming. Except for a few of them, public enterprises are epitome of corruption, inefficiency and financial disasters. More than 30 percent of the government’s initial investment of 86 billion rupees has already been lost.  In the fiscal year 065/066 alone, only 4 of the public enterprises paid dividend of Rs. 3 billion and 470 millions to the government which is just about 4.3 percent return on the investment. Some of the public enterprises have even negative net worth owing to the continuous losses over a long period of time. The scenario is a kick on the face of any fiscal prudence.

As most of the functions of these enterprises are being taken up by private sector which is performing pretty well, the dire state of public enterprises is surfacing even more clearly due to the contrast effect. Take for example the case of state run Janakpur cigarette factory versus private Surya tobacco. Janakpur Cigarette Factory has an accumulated loss of more than a billion rupees and has been operating on loss for almost two decades now. It has more than 1100 staffs. Compare it to Surya tobacco which is one of the largest taxpayer of the country which has about 900 staffs. The scenario is not very different in the case of many of our public enterprises.

The future

As suggested by the Public Enterprises evaluation commission, privatizing and changing the ownership of the ailing public enterprises is the only practical solution for the government. With all the political instability going on and the ineffectiveness of the state being heightened in crucial areas like law and order , justice administration and infrastructure development , reducing the administrative burden of the government is a must for proper functioning of the government. Similarly, reducing the economic burden of public enterprises from the ailing economy of ours could be an important step towards reviving our economy.

As the commission has advised different ways to improve the performances of public enterprises including privatization, public private ownership, cooperative ownership, merging of two or more public enterprises and introducing them to PPP and shutting down, it’s very important that the government act on the suggestion quickly and effectively. If the government decides to keep owning and running them based on some dogmatic ideological principles or pressurized by the vested interest of the group that benefits from the poor performing public enterprises, they will continue to be a drain on our economy.

-Surath Giri
(Published in The Himalayan Times of 30th Jan 2011-Perspectives Page 3)

Dec 17, 2010

Global financial Crisis-Blame the populist policies not free markets!


Just read this view-point entitled “Smooth functioning free market; conditions are attached” on The Himalayan Times of Dec 15. The leftist economist and critics who are riding the bandwagon of state intervention after the global financial crisis declaring it a failure of markets comfortably choose to forget the fact that economic depressions are part of a democratic process of the market to transform resources stuck in unproductive sectors towards more productive sectors and the financial recession emerged from the misguided policy of the US government that encouraged dirt cheap credits for home-ownership. Misguided by the bad policies, banks and other financial institutions invested majority of their resources in the home mortgages which increased the investment in housing sector tremendously. When the market couldn’t take the expansion anymore it busted dragging down major financial institutions as well as other industries. So, the financial crisis instead of being a failure of market is in fact the failure of state intervention in the mortgage markets. Had it not been for the unnecessary intervention of the state in the markets, the recession would never have occurred in first place. For the past 10-12 years, the U.S. economy invested in housing at a rate above that suggested by historical trends. This boom coincided with a substantial increase in homeownership. These facts suggest that the U.S. over invested in housing during this period.  It’s sad that a respected economist like Dr. Dhungel chooses to ignore the facts and give a biased viewpoint to further state intervention.

Jul 5, 2010

Bleak picture of Nepalese Economy -Economic Freedom Matters!


Read a news article about Nepalese economy going down the drain in THT. Though the economic growth had been projected to be about 5.5 percent, the Economic Survey has revealed that it's not going to be any more than a measly 3.5 percent. It's frustrating to know that avarice and hunger for power of some people has taken its toll on the future of entire population of the country. Political instability is the primary cause of this fiasco. We can safely say, our government has done its best to keep us impoverished.
Inflation control is one of the most important thing any governments of the countries like ours can do to help the economy and ease the economic hardships of its people. However, in our country the inflation stands at above 10 percent!!
Since the last three years, successive governments have failed to present a full-fledged budget on time due to political instability that has also brought down Nepal’s economic freedom ranking.
Well, at least it's somewhat comforting to know that more people are at least getting aware of the thing called "Economic Freedom"!

Jun 30, 2010

CNI's demands to the government : An economic analysis!


Just read about some of the demands made by Confederation of Nepalese Industries to the government in view of the upcoming budget. Here is my analysis of the demands:

Curtail the corporate tax to 20 percent from the existing 25 percent for the production, trading and financial sectors.
Reducing taxes is a very good idea. As a general citizen of this country, you are very likely to have been led to believe that increasing taxes on business and industries is a good idea...an idea that benefits the society at large. In fact it's just the opposite. Higher taxes discourage businesses from expanding or scaling up, makes them incompetent due to higher costs, makes goods and services produced by them costlier and transfers resources from the efficient hands to the government which happens to be the  unproductive sector of the economy. When businesses are prevented from scaling up , many employment opportunities as well as the wealth creation opportunities that could have been created are lost. 

You may argue , "well, higher taxes mean more income to the government and more benefits to the society" but it's the opposite again. Let's see an example:

For every 100 rupee our government earns as revenue about 60 rupees is spent on administration which means 60 rupees is spent on either paying for the government employees who are in charge of collecting the same money or maintaining the government offices and procedures for the same purpose. Among the remaining 40 rupees, a portion of it is lost in corruption. Only the remaining small portion reaches our hands in form of some benefits. So basically we are paying 100 rupees to get the services of worth  less than 40 rupees.

If we leave the tax money with the business , then ? Well, in this case, the business is very likely to either distribute the money to its shareholders as dividends or reinvest it to expand business. In either case, general public benefits. If business is expanded more job opportunities are created and more Nepalese can get employment.

My only question is why not demand an overall decrease in tax rate rather than for some sectors only?

Increase the limit on which income tax is imposed to Rs. 250,000 for an individual and Rs. 300,000 for a family.
Good idea! Reasons: same as above!

Remove the dividend tax to encourage domestic and foreign direct investment.
Good idea! For a country as poor as Nepal, foreign direct investment is the only way of raising huge amount of capital needed for economic growth. At the same time, it will also encourage domestic investments which are very crucial for our economy.

Removal of value added tax imposed on the dairy industry, multiple VAT rate and involving the private sector in installing high power transmission lines.
Good idea!

Removal of export services duty and also a softening of the penalty for exporters to 10 percent from the existing 25 percent of the value of the exportable goods.
Good idea! Nepal is in serious need of exports. It would be a great help to the exports and a step towards free trader.

...a difference of 10 percent on the customs duty to be imposed on imported goods and raw materials for Nepali industry to protect domestic industry.
Very very bad idea! Free trade not protectionism is the way to prosperity. Majority of the world has finally learned this truth easy way or the hard way.  Imposing higher import duties prevents us from enjoying cheaper and quality goods and services from abroad and forces us to patronize the inefficient domestic industries. Why should we be forced to pay more for the local industries efficiency? Such protectionist policies benefit the domestic industries at the cost of consumers. Simple put, such policies make domestic producers richer and the consumers poorer. Such ideas are harmful to the economy of a country! But it's not a big surprise to see such fallacious demands from organizations such as CNI as it's in their vested interest to promote such policies no matter how harmful they are for general public!

Jun 10, 2009

Economics in One Lesson: A review


"The art of economics consists in looking not merely at the immediate, but at longer effects of any act or policy, it consists in tracing the consequences of that policy not merely for one group, but for all groups.”

Usually considered one of the most important books in economics, Henry Hazlitt's classic, Economics in One Lesson, is an easy-to-read introduction to the concepts of economic liberty. This manifesto of free market economics has taught millions sound economic thinking. Written in a very lucid manner and revolving around the central theme of free markets, the book is as simple to read and understand as compelling and profound it is in its logic. The hardheaded, sensible and resonable way used to deal with the basic economic principles makes it clear that economic idealism which entails in expansion of government's intervention in markets often results in tyranny,corruption and ultimately waste of resources, impoverishing the majority. The logics presented are based on the common senses and basic economic principles and hence even the most determined anti-free market activist can't afford to ignore them.

The book was written when Hazlitt was an editorialist at the New York Times with the hope of creating a book on economics that would boil down all the principles of economics into few simple lessons that even layman would understand and never forget. Fortunately, the book has proved to be successful in its intent.

The book was written based on some stories by Bastiat and it was the book that made the the idea of the "broken window fallacy" so famous.A must read book for anyone interested in understanding how economy works and thinking like an economist. Besides, after reading the book , you will think twice regarding the economic decisions being made around you.